Editorial and educational publication only. This is not investment, securities, lending, or financial-product advice.
Economic Intelligence Center

Where Nigerian boards
read the economy.

Four destinations. One editorial standard. Watches, weekly briefs, sector deep-dives and the annual Outlook — all distilled for time-poor executives.

Sector intelligence

Five sectors. One lens.

Quarterly deep-dives that translate macro into operating decisions — for boards, lenders and investors.

Banking & Financial Services

Nigerian banks rode the high-rate cycle to strong margins. As rates turn and recapitalisation reshapes the field, 2026 demands a pivot from rate-spread reliance to fee income, digital and disciplined deployment of fresh capital.

Open sector

Manufacturing

Nigeria's manufacturing sector contributed 8.6% to Q1 2026 GDP. Capacity utilisation recovered to 57% (Q4 2025: 53%) as FX availability improved and PMS price stability lowered logistics costs.

Open sector

Banking & Financial Services

Tier-1 recapitalisation is largely complete; Tier-2 banks are mid-cycle. Sector ROE has rebounded to ~24% as NIM expanded with high MPR and asset quality stabilised at sub-5% NPL ratio.

Open sector

Consumer Goods & FMCG

2026 is a tug-of-war between easing inflation and exhausted household budgets. Headline disinflation is real, food costs remain elevated and purchasing power is weak. Winning means pack-price architecture, disciplined pricing and positioning for the eventual demand recovery.

Open sector

SME & Mid-Market

Nigeria's ~40 million MSMEs continue to operate under financing and FX-access constraints. The 2026 CBN MSME Refinancing Window has disbursed N420bn YTD against a N1trn target.

Open sector

Downstream & Refining

Large-scale domestic refining has restructured the downstream sector. With Nigeria now a net exporter of refined products, the economics of supply, distribution and pricing have shifted decisively.

Open sector

Telecommunications & ICT

Higher tariffs, sustained capex demand and the deepening data economy define the sector. Telecoms remain Nigeria's most consequential digital-infrastructure layer, with margins improving as tariff relief catches up to FX-adjusted costs.

Open sector

Agriculture & Agribusiness

Agriculture rebounded in Q1 2026 after a near-flat 2025, supported by improved security in some belts, naira stability for input imports, and policy attention. The sector is investable — food security has become a business model.

Open sector

Power & Utilities

An advisory briefing on Nigeria's power and utilities sector: why substantial installed capacity still yields chronic grid unreliability, how partial tariff reform and Electricity Act 2023 decentralisation are reshaping the market, and what the migration toward state, captive and off-grid power means for boards, investors and lenders. Figures are point-in-time and should be monitored for subsequent regulatory updates.

Open sector

The Outlier Brief

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2026 Outlier Outlook

140 pages. 12 sectors. Scenario forecasts.

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Inflation, FX, MPR, fiscal & macro signals for Nigerian boards.

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