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Scenario Planning Framework

Prepare for multiple futures and build strategic resilience.

Methodology

Scenario model across driving forces, uncertainties, scenario construction, implications and strategic options.

Components

Driving forces; Critical uncertainties; Scenario construction; Implications analysis; Strategic options; Early-warning signals.

Governance

Executive and board engage; strategy office facilitates; revisited in planning cycle.

Maturity levels

L1
Initial (0–40) — Ad-hoc, undocumented, reactive.
L2
Developing (41–55) — Framework emerging; pockets of practice.
L3
Defined (56–70) — Documented, standardised, governed.
L4
Managed (71–85) — Measured, benchmarked, continuously improved.
L5
Optimised (86–100) — Strategic asset; competitive differentiator.

Implementation roadmap

Diagnose (assess maturity) → Design (tailor framework & governance) → Build (strategy, plans, tools) → Embed (cascade, capability, cadence) → Sustain (review, learn, re-score).

Deliverables

Framework document, governance & RACI, templates, maturity score & roadmap, board reporting pack.

Advisory opportunities

Scenario planning facilitation; Resilience strategy; Early-warning system.

Across the Business Strategy ecosystem

Knowledge graph · 3 relations