Framework

Strategic Risk Framework™

Identify, assess and manage the risks to the strategy and business model — the risks most likely to create or destroy value.

Overview

Strategic risks are the threats and opportunities that most affect whether the strategy succeeds. This framework links every strategic objective to its risks and stress-tests the strategy against plausible futures.

Business problem

Risk management focuses on operational detail while the biggest value-destroying risks — disruption, obsolescence, macro shocks — sit outside the register and the board's line of sight.

Purpose

Identify, assess and manage the risks to the strategy and business model — the risks most likely to create or destroy value.

Who it's for
  • Boards
  • CEOs & executives
  • Strategy leaders
  • CROs
Components
  • Strategy-to-risk mapping
  • Business-model risk
  • Scenario & stress testing
  • Early-warning indicators
  • Strategic optionality
  • Board strategy-risk dialogue
Governance Structure
  • Board and executive own strategic risk; the CRO facilitates; it is embedded in the strategy and planning cycle rather than run as a separate exercise.
Maturity Levels (shared spine)
L1

Fragile

Maturity level 1 of the shared Outliers risk spine — Fragile.

L2

Functional

Maturity level 2 of the shared Outliers risk spine — Functional.

L3

Disciplined

Maturity level 3 of the shared Outliers risk spine — Disciplined.

L4

Strategic

Maturity level 4 of the shared Outliers risk spine — Strategic.

L5

Resilient

Maturity level 5 of the shared Outliers risk spine — Resilient.

Roadmap
Step 01
  • Map objectives to strategic risks
Step 02
  • Run scenarios and stress tests
Step 03
  • Define early-warning indicators
Step 04
  • Build response options and optionality
Step 05
  • Integrate into planning and board agenda
Deliverables
  • Strategic risk map
  • Scenario pack
  • Early-warning dashboard
  • Board strategy-risk report
Policies & documents
  • Strategic risk policy
  • Scenario-planning standard
  • Strategic risk register
Metrics & KRIs
  • Strategic risk heat score
  • Early-warning indicator status
  • Scenario severity headroom
  • Strategic assumption validity
Board oversight questions
  • What are the five risks most likely to derail our strategy?
  • How would our strategy hold up under a severe but plausible scenario?
  • What early-warning signals are we monitoring?
  • Where do we have optionality if assumptions break?

Across the ecosystem

Knowledge graph · 2 relations

operationalised by
ResourceStrategic Risk MapResourceScenario Planning Toolkit